Scenario Planning: Forecasting the Impact of CAV's and other Uncertainties

When: Thursday, December 15, 2022 | 2:00 - 3:30 PM ET

This webinar is led by the ITE Transportation Planning Council.

Webinar Description:

Transportation is experiencing several profound transformations, from changes in travel behavior due to the global coronavirus pandemic, to technology advances in vehicle communication and automation. These transformations affect the environment, social equity, and the economy at varying degrees. This webinar will discuss changing travel patterns, increases in teleworking, connected and automated vehicles (CAV), micromobility, and shared mobility, which are examples that bring new challenges and options to passenger and freight travel alike.

To address the potential CAV impacts to the transportation network, the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) 7th Edition has included guidance on potential arterial and freeway capacity increases with varying penetration rates. However, this guidance leads to questions about how to incorporate the benefits of CAV’s along with other changes in technology and travel behavior for future planning efforts. When trying to understand how these changes will affect our communities in the future, it is appropriate to consider alternative scenarios. Some local municipalities, regional agencies (i.e., metropolitan planning organizations) and state Departments of Transportation are leading efforts for what an uncertain future might look like using scenario planning. Unlike traditional long-range planning efforts, scenario planning offers the perspective of alternative views of the future.

Learning Objectives:
Attendees of this webinar will be able to:

• Interpret the HCM guidance to address the impact of CAVs
• Describe scenario planning modeling tools that can estimate the changes to transportation demand and capacity for alternative outcomes
• Explain how one agency used scenario planning in the long-range transportation plan development

Moderator: 
Andrew Velasquez, PE, PTOE, Program Manager, Planning and Traffic Engineering | AECOM, Ft. Lauderdale, FL , United States

Speakers:

• Tom Creasey, P.E., Vice President, Transportation Engineering | Caliper Corporation | Lexington, KY, United States
• David Roden, P.E., Senior Consulting Manager | AECOM | Arlington, VA, United States
• David Anspacher, Transportation Supervisor | Montgomery County Planning| Wheaton, MD, United States
• Jesse McGowan, AICP, Associate | Sam Schwartz Engineering | Jersey City, NJ, United States